Sweden’s KAJ leads Eurovision 2025 predictions, but Denmark’s Sissal fits the classic winner profile according to a supercomputer analysis of 70 years of Eurovision data.
Who is the typical Eurovision winner? Data reveals the profile
A comprehensive analysis of 71 past Eurovision winners highlights a clear pattern: the typical winner is a woman (56.3%), a solo performer (72.9%), singing a pop song (45.1%) in English (49.3%), about love or relationships (59.7%), and aged between 25 and 27 (average 26.9, median 25). Notably, 18.4% of winners performed songs starting with “D” or “T”.
For the full interactive data table and methodology, see the research by MyBettingSites.co.uk.
Which 2025 acts fit the winning formula?
Sissal, representing Denmark with “Hallucination”, is the only 2025 contestant who matches five out of six of these typical traits: she is a female solo pop performer, singing about love in English. Ireland’s Emmy (“Laika Party”), Malta’s Miriana Conte (“Serving”), and Luxembourg’s Laura Thorn (“La poupée monte le son”) each match four of the classic winner traits.
What do the supercomputer and data models predict for 2025?
Despite Sissal’s strong alignment with the historical winner profile, advanced data simulations such as “The Model” project Sweden’s KAJ with “Bara Bada Bastu” as the likely winner if the contest were held today. This prediction is based on a blend of betting odds, historical voting patterns, and current popularity metrics. KAJ is expected to dominate the public vote and place strongly with juries, securing Sweden’s record-breaking eighth Eurovision victory if the trend continues.
France’s Louane is another major contender, especially with the juries, but Sweden’s overall appeal in both jury and public votes keeps them ahead in the latest projections.
Social media and streaming: who is leading online?
- Most streamed song on Spotify: KAJ (Sweden) – 38.5 million streams
- Most followed on Instagram: Louane (France) – 1.245 million followers
- Most followed on TikTok: Louane (France) – 1.3 million followers, 24.9 million likes
- Most viewed YouTube music video: KAJ (Sweden) – 9.18 million views
Eurovision 2025: Key data at a glance
| Category | Leader (2025) | Metric |
|---|---|---|
| Spotify Streams | KAJ (Sweden) | 38,564,827 |
| Instagram Followers | Louane (France) | 1,245,243 |
| TikTok Followers | Louane (France) | 1,300,000 |
| YouTube Video Views | KAJ (Sweden) | 9,179,123 |
While Denmark’s Sissal aligns best with the historical Eurovision winner profile, current data models and streaming figures point to Sweden’s KAJ as the frontrunner for Eurovision 2025. However, with the contest still ahead, shifts in public sentiment and jury preferences could still change the outcome.
For the full interactive data table and methodology, see the research by MyBettingSites.co.uk.
